Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Documents-only copy of counter-asic-4 248837578 over master f1c1fd9d1 (the 21:00 landing): the design and analysis documents, spec 05 and 06 (06 and the export list three-way merged), sim/economy/coexist (python, JSON, TSV), the map cell harness:economics-model added to master's map, the batch eco-d4-20261008-01 recorded through tools/ci/test-record.mjs on master's registry copy; nothing under igneum-pow, proto-cuda or the apps; the branch itself unmerged.
46 KiB
The coexistence sensitivity workbook: every threshold figure with the assumptions that produce it
8 October 2026, 17:1x UK, branch class-v6-floor-sram, floor lane 3, Igneum 2.0 D4 (the research lane's pin of 17:xx UK). Every row here is a figure produced today by the floor file (docs/analysis/class-v6/floor/sram-and-floor.md), the coexistence model (docs/analysis/class-v6/coexistence-model.md) or this lane's scripts, with the assumption that produces it in its own column, so that a reader can change one column and see the figure move. Nothing in this table is a boundary the chain stays below; every figure is modelled unless its label says otherwise, and the model document cites this workbook instead of stating a threshold in prose. Generated by scratchpad/market.py on build-4 (the rows, 17:07 UK) from the same code that produced the documents' tables; the condition lines are judgement lines, labelled as such. The founder is not named.
How to read a row
figure is the quantity; value and unit its number; the next columns are the assumptions that produce it (n/a where the figure does not depend on that assumption); GPU_cost_basis says whether the GPU side is priced at MSRP or street and which card and operating point; emission_years says which years of the spec's constant the figure integrates; price_assumption carries an IGN price where one is assumed and solved where the price is the output; source_section is where the figure is used; label is measured, modelled, approximate or a judgement line.
The standing assumptions behind every surface row unless the row says otherwise: the spec's emission (0.77 / 0.80 / 0.40 / 0.40 / 0.20 / 0.20 / 0.10 / 0.10 B IGN to miners in years 1 to 8), the project starting at launch and mining for life_y years after pre_production_y, mid-year discounting, the chip's margin 1 - (0.000084 / edge + capex / (life x 8,766)) / 0.00092 with the 5090 at the lock over two years at MSRP as the GPU all-in cost (USD 0.00092 per MH/s-hour, 0.000084 of it electricity), the fleet capital and residual dropped (under 2 percent of revenue). The break-even electricity rows assume 97 percent accepted work, a 1 percent pool fee, a 5 percent wear allowance on the used price for the owner, a two-year life with the table's resale for the entrant, and the chip at USD 0.06 per kWh plus USD 0.02 of hosting with development sunk.
The rows
| figure | value | unit | discount | life_y | share_q | project_cost_USD_M | pre_production_y | edge_per_joule | chip_capex_USD_per_MHs | GPU_cost_basis | electricity_USD_kWh | emission_years | price_assumption | source_section | label |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lower threshold: no chip project below | 23 | USD M a year of miner revenue at launch | 0.10 | 4 (years 3 to 6) | 1.0 | 20 | 2 | 5x | n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) | n/a | n/a | y3 to y6 at the constant | p* 0.029 USD per IGN | floor 4.2 / 4.3 | modelled |
| upper threshold: every DRAM-board project above | 340 | USD M a year of miner revenue at launch | 0.10 | 4 (years 3 to 6) | 0.3 | 75 | 2 | 3x | n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) | n/a | n/a | y3 to y6 at the constant | p* 0.441 USD per IGN | floor 4.2 / 4.3 | modelled |
| SRAM project taking the chain | 98 | USD M a year of miner revenue at launch | 0.10 | 4 (years 3 to 6) | 1.0 | 100 | 2 | 13x | n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) | n/a | n/a | y3 to y6 at the constant | p* 0.127 USD per IGN | floor 4.2 / 4.3 | modelled |
| SRAM project at a third | 566 | USD M a year of miner revenue at launch | 0.10 | 4 (years 3 to 6) | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) | n/a | n/a | y3 to y6 at the constant | p* 0.735 USD per IGN | floor 4.2 / 4.3 | modelled |
| development cost range, cheapest DRAM-board chip | 20 to 75 | USD M | n/a | n/a | n/a | 20 to 75 | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | floor 4.3 (floor lane 5: no 28 nm GDDR7 PHY) | approximate |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.224 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.067 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.105 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.031 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.070 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.021 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.054 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.016 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 20 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.493 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.148 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.230 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.069 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.117 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.035 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.095 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.028 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 20 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.841 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.252 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.392 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.118 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.261 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.078 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.201 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.060 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 75 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.849 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.555 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.862 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.259 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.437 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.131 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.355 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.107 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 75 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.681 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.504 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.784 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.235 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.521 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.156 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.402 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.121 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 150 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 3.699 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.110 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.725 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.517 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.874 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.262 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.711 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.213 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 5.604 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.681 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 2.613 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.784 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.738 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.521 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.339 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.402 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 500 | 1 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 12.329 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 3.699 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 5.749 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 1.725 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 2.913 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 0.3 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.874 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 2 | 1.0 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 2.369 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, operator self-mining | 0.711 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 500 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) | 0.06 chip | T0+1 onward at the constant | solved | floor 4.4 A | modelled |
| surface p*, edge axis | 0.732 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 2x | 0.5 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | floor 4.4 A2 | modelled |
| surface p*, edge axis | 0.720 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 3x | 0.5 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | floor 4.4 A2 | modelled |
| surface p*, edge axis | 0.703 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 13x | 0.5 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | floor 4.4 A2 | modelled |
| surface p*, chip capex axis | 0.789 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 2.8 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | floor 4.4 A2 | modelled |
| surface p*, chip capex axis | 0.881 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 5.0 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | floor 4.4 A2 | modelled |
| surface p*, discount axis | 0.611 | USD per IGN | 0.05 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | this workbook | modelled |
| surface p*, discount axis | 0.821 | USD per IGN | 0.15 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | this workbook | modelled |
| surface p*, street GPU prices (capex term x2: GPU all-in 0.00176) | 0.372 | USD per IGN (approximate: p* scales with the GPU all-in cost) | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 150 | 2 | 5x | 0.5 | street (2x MSRP) | 0.06 | constant | solved | this workbook | approximate |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.797 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 50 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.239 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 50 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.263 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 50 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.079 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 50 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 1.992 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 125 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.598 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 125 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.658 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 125 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.197 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 125 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 3.586 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 0.3 | 225 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 1.076 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 1 | 1.0 | 225 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 1.184 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 0.3 | 225 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| surface p*, the hybrid board | 0.355 | USD per IGN | 0.10 | 3 | 1.0 | 225 | 2 | 2.7x | 2.44 | MSRP basis | 0.06 | constant | solved | model 12a | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 26.9 / 9.7 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.9x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 8.7 / -8.6 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.9x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 1.5 / -15.7 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.1x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -1.0 / -18.3 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.1x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 31.5 / 13.6 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.6x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 10.8 / -7.1 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.6x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 2.7 / -15.2 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.5x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -0.1 / -18.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.5x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 39.5 / 24.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.2x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 14.5 / -0.1 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.2x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 4.7 / -9.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.7x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | 1.2 / -13.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.7x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 37.6 / 18.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.2x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 13.3 / -5.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.2x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 3.8 / -14.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | 0.4 / -18.3 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 25.9 / -1.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.0x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 7.9 / -19.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.0x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 0.9 / -26.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.1x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -1.7 / -28.6 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.1x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 28.8 / 6.7 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.8x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 9.5 / -12.5 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.8x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 2.0 / -20.1 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -0.7 / -22.8 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 16.5 / -5.6 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.5x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 4.7 / -17.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.5x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 0.0 / -22.1 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -1.6 / -23.8 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 18.0 / -1.2 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.4x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 5.9 / -13.3 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.4x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 1.1 / -18.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.6x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -0.6 / -19.7 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.6x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 18.1 / 3.2 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.5x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 6.2 / -8.7 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.5x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 1.5 / -13.3 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.8x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -0.1 / -15.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.8x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 16.4 / -4.3 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.8x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 5.3 / -15.5 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.8x joules | 5.59 | modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 0.9 / -19.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 8.3x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -0.7 / -21.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 8.3x joules | 0.78 | modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 13.8 / -5.1 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.7x joules | 5.59 | modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 4.4 / -14.5 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.7x joules | 5.59 | modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 0.7 / -18.2 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 9.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -0.6 / -19.5 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 9.8x joules | 0.78 | modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 16.0 / 5.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.3x joules | 5.59 | modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 5.9 / -4.2 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 5.3x joules | 5.59 | modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 2.0 / -8.2 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 9.1x joules | 0.78 | modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | 0.5 / -9.6 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 9.1x joules | 0.78 | modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 11.7 / 4.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.3x joules | 5.59 | modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 4.3 / -3.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 7.3x joules | 5.59 | modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | 1.4 / -5.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 12.5x joules | 0.78 | modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | 0.4 / -6.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 12.5x joules | 0.78 | modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 7.1 / -4.5 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 10.0x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | 1.7 / -9.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 10.0x joules | 5.59 | measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | -0.4 / -12.0 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 17.2x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -1.1 / -12.8 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 17.2x joules | 0.78 | measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | -21.0 / -360.1 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.5x joules | 5.59 | modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | -42.3 / -381.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 2.5x joules | 5.59 | modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | -50.6 / -389.7 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.3x joules | 0.78 | modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -53.6 / -392.6 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 4.3x joules | 0.78 | modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 5.2 / -188.9 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.7x joules | 5.59 | modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | -9.5 / -203.6 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.7x joules | 5.59 | modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | -15.3 / -209.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 6.3x joules | 0.78 | modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -17.3 / -211.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 6.3x joules | 0.78 | modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant | 3.3 / -219.2 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 1.8x joules | 5.59 | measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant | -27.0 / -249.5 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 1.8x joules | 5.59 | measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant | -38.9 / -261.4 | cents per kWh | n/a | 1 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.0x joules | 0.78 | measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant | -43.2 / -265.7 | cents per kWh | n/a | 3 | n/a | sunk | n/a | 3.0x joules | 0.78 | measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 | chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting | n/a | n/a | model 3 | modelled |
| condition (a) line | 1.5 | x the best GPU owner's cost at the GPU's electricity | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | owner at 0.12: 263 to 332 uUSD | 0.12 GPU / 0.06 chip | n/a | n/a | model 12 | a judgement line, not a measurement |
| condition (b) line | 0.25 | of the GPU entrant's annualised hardware | n/a | 2 (GPU) | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | 5080 entrant hardware 459 uUSD | n/a | n/a | n/a | model 12 | a judgement line |
| condition (c) line | 1.0 | years of miner revenue to buy a third of the chain's hash | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | per chip | GPU equilibrium hash at the per-class curve | 0.12 | year 3 | 0.03 to 1.00 | model 12 | a judgement line |
| condition (e) line | 3.0 | x per joule at the honest knee | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | Blackwell knee 1.70 to 2.06 uJ (5070 Ti modelled, 5080 measured) | n/a | n/a | n/a | model 12 | a judgement line |
| condition (f) line | 0.70 | gross margin, falling with the halvings | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | model 12 | a judgement line |
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| figure | value | unit | assumptions | source_section | label |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The record's SRAM read energy | 1.0 (0.5 to 2.0) | nJ per 64-byte read | the wire at 1.3 pJ per bit across a 24 mm die, a 64-byte atom | floor 2.1 | approximate (lane B) |
| The die's read energy at the hash's width | 0.25 / 0.38 / 0.55 / 0.88 | nJ at W = 1 / 4 / 8 / 16 | the same wire, 0.1 nJ macro, 0.05 controller, 48 + 32 W bits per read | floor 2.2 | modelled |
| The SRAM cost curve | about 250 | USD per GiB of store, flat to 2031 | N2 38 Mb/mm^2 (claimed), USD 500 per reticle die, +8 percent density and +10 percent wafer price per node | floor 3.1 | approximate |
| USD 5,000 of silicon per store | 20 GiB (10 reticles) at N2, about 21 GiB in 2031 | the floor size that costs it | the cost curve above | floor 3.2 | modelled |
| The dataset floor's honest-side cost | 4 / 8 / 10 percent per hash at 2 / 4 / 8 GiB at the 5090's knee; 3.5 percent of rate at 5.5 GiB at stock | the 5090 at the 1,300 MHz lock; a rented 5090 at stock (host capped at 328 W) | the hash lane's and the fleet lane's rows | floor 3.2 | measured |
| The W = 8 energy cost on the card | +4.8 percent per hash at stock | the 5090 under the class v5 state term, PC 1 | one sector per load, the second sector 1.2 nJ | floor 2.2 | measured |
| The W = 16 energy cost on the card | +25 percent (5090), +34 percent (4090) per hash at stock | the hinted one-request form, rate held | floor lane 5's rented rows | floor 2.2c | measured |
| The k lane's programmable core | 3.5 pJ per lane-op at N3, 2.5 at N2 | synthesis-only, pre-place; x0.5 ASAP7 to N3 | 0.36 microjoules of class v4 shadow at N3; absolute k 0.31 stock, 0.56 lock | floor 2.2b | synthesised (the scaling approximate) |
| The adversary lane's placed whole-machine energies (first) | board 1.6x / 1.9x, hybrid 2.4x / 2.9x, die 2.4x / 3.3x | per joule vs the 5090 at the lock, node-for-node / a node ahead | the design's 10.0r | model 8a | the adversary lane's rows |
| The adversary lane's FINAL placed energies and tickets | board 1.5x / 1.8x at USD 4.84 per MH/s; hybrid 1.93x / 2.40x at 2.80 (p98 2.09x at 1.88); die 2.3x / 3.1x at 2.94 (2.14 at the smaller ticket) | complete machines | the design's 10.0t | model 12b | the adversary lane's rows |
| The die's ticket, reconciled (the adversary lane's section 15, 17:2x UK) | 1.0 (0.5 to 1.6) per MH/s at 1 to 1.5 kW per machine: the die USD 500, the shadow core's silicon 0.55 per MH/s placed or 0.11 to 0.2 pipelined, the package 60 to 200, the board 150 plus PSU and cooling at 0.15 per W, the host 15; 852 / 1,420 / 2,130 / 2,840 MH/s at 600 W / 1 / 1.5 / 2 kW. The earlier 2.94 was a 300 W machine (the die throttled to 383 MH/s); the 0.6 is the zero-shadow silicon floor | USD per MH/s | the power budget (the maker raises it until the power train and the core's silicon bind); the core's pipelining; the package | model 12c | reconciled; the components claimed and approximate as the adversary lane labels them |
| The die's cost per accepted MH/s-hour at the reconciled ticket | 128 / 106 (node-for-node / a node ahead); 106 / 84 at USD 0.5; 153 / 132 at 1.6 | micro-USD, sunk, 3 y, at 0.06 | the ticket | model 12c | modelled |
| Conditions (a), (b), (c) on the die at the reconciled ticket | (a) 2.06x / 2.48x (fails); (b) 0.09 (fails); (c) 12.6x short at IGN 0.10 (fails) | x the best owner; of the 5080 entrant's hardware; a third of the chain against a year's revenue | the ticket | model 12c | modelled |
| A sunk USD 10 M die fleet's share on landing at the reconciled ticket | 42 percent of a growing chain (27 to 68 at the bounds), 62 of a flat one (40 to 93), 49 of a shrinking one (33 to 78); 100 percent of flat and shrinking chains by year 3 to 5 | percent of the hash | the ticket; private supply | model 12c | modelled |
| The die's project economics (the adversary lane) | NRE USD 50 to 250 per MH/s for a first batch of 1,000 dies (1 to 2 TH/s) against USD 1 of unit cost; first-yield losses USD 100 to 400 per die | USD per MH/s; USD per die | the project cost 100 to 500 M; the batch size | model 12c and the surface (floor 4.4) | approximate |
| The die's cost per accepted MH/s-hour at each ticket | 72 at USD 0.6; 211 / 190 at 2.94 (node-for-node / a node ahead); 177 / 155 at 2.14 | micro-USD, sunk, 3 y, at 0.06 | the ticket | model 12b | modelled |
| Condition (a) on the die at each ticket | 2.2x to 4.6x at USD 0.6 (fails); 1.24x / 1.39x at 2.94 (passes); 1.49x / 1.69x at 2.14 (on the line) | x the best Blackwell owner at 0.12 | the ticket | model 12b | modelled |
| Condition (b) on the die at each ticket | 0.07 at USD 0.6 (fails); 0.27 at 2.94 (passes by a hair); 0.20 at 2.14 (fails) | of the 5080 entrant's hardware | the ticket | model 12b | modelled |
| Condition (c) on the die at each ticket, IGN 0.10 | USD 2.3 M for a third of the chain at 0.6 (16x short of a year's revenue); 9.4 M at 2.94 (4.3x); 6.8 M at 2.14 (5.9x) | USD M against USD 40 M | the ticket; the per-class equilibrium hash | model 12b | modelled |
| A sunk USD 10 M die fleet's share of the chain on landing, year 2 | 70 percent at USD 0.6 (flat path), 50 (growing); 25 and 16 at 2.94 | percent of the hash | the ticket; private supply | model 8 and 12b | modelled |