igneum/docs/analysis/class-v6/coexistence-workbook.md
igneum-labs 52c785e764 Class v6: the genesis dataset size DECIDED at 4 GiB (the founder's word at 20:00 UK, FROZEN as class_v6_dataset_steps [(0, 4096 MiB)]); change (3) and the served policy sentence as decided; the chip line's a-node-ahead end 3.3x with the floor marked
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>

Documents-only copy of counter-asic-4 248837578 over master f1c1fd9d1 (the 21:00 landing): the design and analysis documents, spec 05 and 06 (06 and the export list three-way merged), sim/economy/coexist (python, JSON, TSV), the map cell harness:economics-model added to master's map, the batch eco-d4-20261008-01 recorded through tools/ci/test-record.mjs on master's registry copy; nothing under igneum-pow, proto-cuda or the apps; the branch itself unmerged.
2026-10-08 19:31:58 +00:00

46 KiB

The coexistence sensitivity workbook: every threshold figure with the assumptions that produce it

8 October 2026, 17:1x UK, branch class-v6-floor-sram, floor lane 3, Igneum 2.0 D4 (the research lane's pin of 17:xx UK). Every row here is a figure produced today by the floor file (docs/analysis/class-v6/floor/sram-and-floor.md), the coexistence model (docs/analysis/class-v6/coexistence-model.md) or this lane's scripts, with the assumption that produces it in its own column, so that a reader can change one column and see the figure move. Nothing in this table is a boundary the chain stays below; every figure is modelled unless its label says otherwise, and the model document cites this workbook instead of stating a threshold in prose. Generated by scratchpad/market.py on build-4 (the rows, 17:07 UK) from the same code that produced the documents' tables; the condition lines are judgement lines, labelled as such. The founder is not named.

How to read a row

figure is the quantity; value and unit its number; the next columns are the assumptions that produce it (n/a where the figure does not depend on that assumption); GPU_cost_basis says whether the GPU side is priced at MSRP or street and which card and operating point; emission_years says which years of the spec's constant the figure integrates; price_assumption carries an IGN price where one is assumed and solved where the price is the output; source_section is where the figure is used; label is measured, modelled, approximate or a judgement line.

The standing assumptions behind every surface row unless the row says otherwise: the spec's emission (0.77 / 0.80 / 0.40 / 0.40 / 0.20 / 0.20 / 0.10 / 0.10 B IGN to miners in years 1 to 8), the project starting at launch and mining for life_y years after pre_production_y, mid-year discounting, the chip's margin 1 - (0.000084 / edge + capex / (life x 8,766)) / 0.00092 with the 5090 at the lock over two years at MSRP as the GPU all-in cost (USD 0.00092 per MH/s-hour, 0.000084 of it electricity), the fleet capital and residual dropped (under 2 percent of revenue). The break-even electricity rows assume 97 percent accepted work, a 1 percent pool fee, a 5 percent wear allowance on the used price for the owner, a two-year life with the table's resale for the entrant, and the chip at USD 0.06 per kWh plus USD 0.02 of hosting with development sunk.

The rows

figure value unit discount life_y share_q project_cost_USD_M pre_production_y edge_per_joule chip_capex_USD_per_MHs GPU_cost_basis electricity_USD_kWh emission_years price_assumption source_section label
lower threshold: no chip project below 23 USD M a year of miner revenue at launch 0.10 4 (years 3 to 6) 1.0 20 2 5x n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) n/a n/a y3 to y6 at the constant p* 0.029 USD per IGN floor 4.2 / 4.3 modelled
upper threshold: every DRAM-board project above 340 USD M a year of miner revenue at launch 0.10 4 (years 3 to 6) 0.3 75 2 3x n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) n/a n/a y3 to y6 at the constant p* 0.441 USD per IGN floor 4.2 / 4.3 modelled
SRAM project taking the chain 98 USD M a year of miner revenue at launch 0.10 4 (years 3 to 6) 1.0 100 2 13x n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) n/a n/a y3 to y6 at the constant p* 0.127 USD per IGN floor 4.2 / 4.3 modelled
SRAM project at a third 566 USD M a year of miner revenue at launch 0.10 4 (years 3 to 6) 0.3 150 2 5x n/a (margin 1 - 1/e) n/a n/a y3 to y6 at the constant p* 0.735 USD per IGN floor 4.2 / 4.3 modelled
development cost range, cheapest DRAM-board chip 20 to 75 USD M n/a n/a n/a 20 to 75 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a floor 4.3 (floor lane 5: no 28 nm GDDR7 PHY) approximate
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.224 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.067 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.105 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.031 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.070 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.021 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.054 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.016 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 20 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.493 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.148 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.230 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.069 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.117 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.035 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.095 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.028 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 20 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.841 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.252 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.392 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.118 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.261 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.078 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.201 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.060 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 75 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.849 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.555 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.862 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.259 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.437 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.131 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.355 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.107 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 75 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.681 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.504 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.784 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.235 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.521 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.156 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.402 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.121 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 150 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 3.699 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.110 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.725 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.517 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.874 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.262 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.711 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.213 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 150 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 5.604 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.681 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 2.613 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.784 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.738 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.521 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.339 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.402 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 500 1 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 12.329 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 0.3 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 3.699 USD per IGN 0.10 0.5 1.0 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 5.749 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 1.725 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 2.913 USD per IGN 0.10 2 0.3 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.874 USD per IGN 0.10 2 1.0 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 2.369 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, operator self-mining 0.711 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 500 2 5x 0.5 5090 at the lock over 2 y, MSRP (0.00092 per MH/s-h) 0.06 chip T0+1 onward at the constant solved floor 4.4 A modelled
surface p*, edge axis 0.732 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 150 2 2x 0.5 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved floor 4.4 A2 modelled
surface p*, edge axis 0.720 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 150 2 3x 0.5 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved floor 4.4 A2 modelled
surface p*, edge axis 0.703 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 150 2 13x 0.5 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved floor 4.4 A2 modelled
surface p*, chip capex axis 0.789 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 150 2 5x 2.8 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved floor 4.4 A2 modelled
surface p*, chip capex axis 0.881 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 150 2 5x 5.0 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved floor 4.4 A2 modelled
surface p*, discount axis 0.611 USD per IGN 0.05 3 0.3 150 2 5x 0.5 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved this workbook modelled
surface p*, discount axis 0.821 USD per IGN 0.15 3 0.3 150 2 5x 0.5 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved this workbook modelled
surface p*, street GPU prices (capex term x2: GPU all-in 0.00176) 0.372 USD per IGN (approximate: p* scales with the GPU all-in cost) 0.10 3 0.3 150 2 5x 0.5 street (2x MSRP) 0.06 constant solved this workbook approximate
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.797 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 50 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.239 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 50 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.263 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 50 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.079 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 50 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 1.992 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 125 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.598 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 125 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.658 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 125 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.197 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 125 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 3.586 USD per IGN 0.10 1 0.3 225 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 1.076 USD per IGN 0.10 1 1.0 225 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 1.184 USD per IGN 0.10 3 0.3 225 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
surface p*, the hybrid board 0.355 USD per IGN 0.10 3 1.0 225 2 2.7x 2.44 MSRP basis 0.06 constant solved model 12a modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 26.9 / 9.7 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 2.9x joules 5.59 measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 8.7 / -8.6 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 2.9x joules 5.59 measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 1.5 / -15.7 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 5.1x joules 0.78 measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5090 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -1.0 / -18.3 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 5.1x joules 0.78 measured; used price 2200 USD, new 2600, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 31.5 / 13.6 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 2.6x joules 5.59 measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 10.8 / -7.1 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 2.6x joules 5.59 measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 2.7 / -15.2 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 4.5x joules 0.78 measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5080 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -0.1 / -18.0 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 4.5x joules 0.78 measured; used price 900 USD, new 1100, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 39.5 / 24.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 2.2x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 14.5 / -0.1 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 2.2x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 4.7 / -9.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 3.7x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 Ti vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant 1.2 / -13.4 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 3.7x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 650 USD, new 800, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 37.6 / 18.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 2.2x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 13.3 / -5.4 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 2.2x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 3.8 / -14.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 3.8x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5070 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant 0.4 / -18.3 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 3.8x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 450 USD, new 560, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 25.9 / -1.0 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 3.0x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 7.9 / -19.0 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 3.0x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 0.9 / -26.0 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 5.1x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -1.7 / -28.6 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 5.1x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 360 USD, new 450, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 28.8 / 6.7 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 2.8x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 9.5 / -12.5 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 2.8x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 2.0 / -20.1 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 4.8x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 5060 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -0.7 / -22.8 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 4.8x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 250 USD, new 310, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 16.5 / -5.6 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 4.5x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 4.7 / -17.4 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 4.5x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 0.0 / -22.1 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 7.8x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4090 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -1.6 / -23.8 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 7.8x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 1300 USD, new 1700, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 18.0 / -1.2 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 4.4x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 5.9 / -13.3 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 4.4x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 1.1 / -18.0 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 7.6x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4080 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -0.6 / -19.7 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 7.6x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 700 USD, new 1000, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 18.1 / 3.2 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 4.5x joules 5.59 measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 6.2 / -8.7 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 4.5x joules 5.59 measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 1.5 / -13.3 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 7.8x joules 0.78 measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4070 vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -0.1 / -15.0 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 7.8x joules 0.78 measured; used price 400 USD, new 550, resale 0.4 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 16.4 / -4.3 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 4.8x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 5.3 / -15.5 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 4.8x joules 5.59 modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 0.9 / -19.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 8.3x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 4060 Ti 16G vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -0.7 / -21.4 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 8.3x joules 0.78 modelled knee; used price 290 USD, new 420, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 13.8 / -5.1 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 5.7x joules 5.59 modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 4.4 / -14.5 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 5.7x joules 5.59 modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 0.7 / -18.2 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 9.8x joules 0.78 modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3090 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -0.6 / -19.5 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 9.8x joules 0.78 modelled cap; used price 650 USD, new 900, resale 0.3 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 16.0 / 5.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 5.3x joules 5.59 modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 5.9 / -4.2 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 5.3x joules 5.59 modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 2.0 / -8.2 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 9.1x joules 0.78 modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3080 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant 0.5 / -9.6 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 9.1x joules 0.78 modelled cap; used price 330 USD, new 450, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 11.7 / 4.4 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 7.3x joules 5.59 modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 4.3 / -3.0 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 7.3x joules 5.59 modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant 1.4 / -5.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 12.5x joules 0.78 modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RTX 3060 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant 0.4 / -6.9 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 12.5x joules 0.78 modelled cap; used price 190 USD, new 260, resale 0.25 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 7.1 / -4.5 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 10.0x joules 5.59 measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant 1.7 / -9.9 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 10.0x joules 5.59 measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant -0.4 / -12.0 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 17.2x joules 0.78 measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, RX 9070 XT vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -1.1 / -12.8 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 17.2x joules 0.78 measured; used price 520 USD, new 650, resale 0.45 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant -21.0 / -360.1 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 2.5x joules 5.59 modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant -42.3 / -381.4 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 2.5x joules 5.59 modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant -50.6 / -389.7 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 4.3x joules 0.78 modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, H100 (hosted) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -53.6 / -392.6 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 4.3x joules 0.78 modelled lock; used price 18000 USD, new 25000, resale 0.5 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 5.2 / -188.9 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 3.7x joules 5.59 modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant -9.5 / -203.6 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 3.7x joules 5.59 modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant -15.3 / -209.4 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 6.3x joules 0.78 modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, A100 (used) vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -17.3 / -211.4 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 6.3x joules 0.78 modelled; used price 6000 USD, new 10000, resale 0.35 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs GDDR7 board 1 y, owner / entrant 3.3 / -219.2 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 1.8x joules 5.59 measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs GDDR7 board 3 y, owner / entrant -27.0 / -249.5 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 1.8x joules 5.59 measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs SRAM die 1 y, owner / entrant -38.9 / -261.4 cents per kWh n/a 1 n/a sunk n/a 3.0x joules 0.78 measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
break-even electricity, Apple M5 Max vs SRAM die 3 y, owner / entrant -43.2 / -265.7 cents per kWh n/a 3 n/a sunk n/a 3.0x joules 0.78 measured (reported); used price 3200 USD, new 4000, resale 0.55 chip at 0.06 + 0.02 hosting n/a n/a model 3 modelled
condition (a) line 1.5 x the best GPU owner's cost at the GPU's electricity n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a owner at 0.12: 263 to 332 uUSD 0.12 GPU / 0.06 chip n/a n/a model 12 a judgement line, not a measurement
condition (b) line 0.25 of the GPU entrant's annualised hardware n/a 2 (GPU) n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 5080 entrant hardware 459 uUSD n/a n/a n/a model 12 a judgement line
condition (c) line 1.0 years of miner revenue to buy a third of the chain's hash n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a per chip GPU equilibrium hash at the per-class curve 0.12 year 3 0.03 to 1.00 model 12 a judgement line
condition (e) line 3.0 x per joule at the honest knee n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Blackwell knee 1.70 to 2.06 uJ (5070 Ti modelled, 5080 measured) n/a n/a n/a model 12 a judgement line
condition (f) line 0.70 gross margin, falling with the halvings n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a model 12 a judgement line

Rows carried from the first-cut documents that the script does not regenerate

figure value unit assumptions source_section label
The record's SRAM read energy 1.0 (0.5 to 2.0) nJ per 64-byte read the wire at 1.3 pJ per bit across a 24 mm die, a 64-byte atom floor 2.1 approximate (lane B)
The die's read energy at the hash's width 0.25 / 0.38 / 0.55 / 0.88 nJ at W = 1 / 4 / 8 / 16 the same wire, 0.1 nJ macro, 0.05 controller, 48 + 32 W bits per read floor 2.2 modelled
The SRAM cost curve about 250 USD per GiB of store, flat to 2031 N2 38 Mb/mm^2 (claimed), USD 500 per reticle die, +8 percent density and +10 percent wafer price per node floor 3.1 approximate
USD 5,000 of silicon per store 20 GiB (10 reticles) at N2, about 21 GiB in 2031 the floor size that costs it the cost curve above floor 3.2 modelled
The dataset floor's honest-side cost 4 / 8 / 10 percent per hash at 2 / 4 / 8 GiB at the 5090's knee; 3.5 percent of rate at 5.5 GiB at stock the 5090 at the 1,300 MHz lock; a rented 5090 at stock (host capped at 328 W) the hash lane's and the fleet lane's rows floor 3.2 measured
The W = 8 energy cost on the card +4.8 percent per hash at stock the 5090 under the class v5 state term, PC 1 one sector per load, the second sector 1.2 nJ floor 2.2 measured
The W = 16 energy cost on the card +25 percent (5090), +34 percent (4090) per hash at stock the hinted one-request form, rate held floor lane 5's rented rows floor 2.2c measured
The k lane's programmable core 3.5 pJ per lane-op at N3, 2.5 at N2 synthesis-only, pre-place; x0.5 ASAP7 to N3 0.36 microjoules of class v4 shadow at N3; absolute k 0.31 stock, 0.56 lock floor 2.2b synthesised (the scaling approximate)
The adversary lane's placed whole-machine energies (first) board 1.6x / 1.9x, hybrid 2.4x / 2.9x, die 2.4x / 3.3x per joule vs the 5090 at the lock, node-for-node / a node ahead the design's 10.0r model 8a the adversary lane's rows
The adversary lane's FINAL placed energies and tickets board 1.5x / 1.8x at USD 4.84 per MH/s; hybrid 1.93x / 2.40x at 2.80 (p98 2.09x at 1.88); die 2.3x / 3.1x at 2.94 (2.14 at the smaller ticket) complete machines the design's 10.0t model 12b the adversary lane's rows
The die's ticket, reconciled (the adversary lane's section 15, 17:2x UK) 1.0 (0.5 to 1.6) per MH/s at 1 to 1.5 kW per machine: the die USD 500, the shadow core's silicon 0.55 per MH/s placed or 0.11 to 0.2 pipelined, the package 60 to 200, the board 150 plus PSU and cooling at 0.15 per W, the host 15; 852 / 1,420 / 2,130 / 2,840 MH/s at 600 W / 1 / 1.5 / 2 kW. The earlier 2.94 was a 300 W machine (the die throttled to 383 MH/s); the 0.6 is the zero-shadow silicon floor USD per MH/s the power budget (the maker raises it until the power train and the core's silicon bind); the core's pipelining; the package model 12c reconciled; the components claimed and approximate as the adversary lane labels them
The die's cost per accepted MH/s-hour at the reconciled ticket 128 / 106 (node-for-node / a node ahead); 106 / 84 at USD 0.5; 153 / 132 at 1.6 micro-USD, sunk, 3 y, at 0.06 the ticket model 12c modelled
Conditions (a), (b), (c) on the die at the reconciled ticket (a) 2.06x / 2.48x (fails); (b) 0.09 (fails); (c) 12.6x short at IGN 0.10 (fails) x the best owner; of the 5080 entrant's hardware; a third of the chain against a year's revenue the ticket model 12c modelled
A sunk USD 10 M die fleet's share on landing at the reconciled ticket 42 percent of a growing chain (27 to 68 at the bounds), 62 of a flat one (40 to 93), 49 of a shrinking one (33 to 78); 100 percent of flat and shrinking chains by year 3 to 5 percent of the hash the ticket; private supply model 12c modelled
The die's project economics (the adversary lane) NRE USD 50 to 250 per MH/s for a first batch of 1,000 dies (1 to 2 TH/s) against USD 1 of unit cost; first-yield losses USD 100 to 400 per die USD per MH/s; USD per die the project cost 100 to 500 M; the batch size model 12c and the surface (floor 4.4) approximate
The die's cost per accepted MH/s-hour at each ticket 72 at USD 0.6; 211 / 190 at 2.94 (node-for-node / a node ahead); 177 / 155 at 2.14 micro-USD, sunk, 3 y, at 0.06 the ticket model 12b modelled
Condition (a) on the die at each ticket 2.2x to 4.6x at USD 0.6 (fails); 1.24x / 1.39x at 2.94 (passes); 1.49x / 1.69x at 2.14 (on the line) x the best Blackwell owner at 0.12 the ticket model 12b modelled
Condition (b) on the die at each ticket 0.07 at USD 0.6 (fails); 0.27 at 2.94 (passes by a hair); 0.20 at 2.14 (fails) of the 5080 entrant's hardware the ticket model 12b modelled
Condition (c) on the die at each ticket, IGN 0.10 USD 2.3 M for a third of the chain at 0.6 (16x short of a year's revenue); 9.4 M at 2.94 (4.3x); 6.8 M at 2.14 (5.9x) USD M against USD 40 M the ticket; the per-class equilibrium hash model 12b modelled
A sunk USD 10 M die fleet's share of the chain on landing, year 2 70 percent at USD 0.6 (flat path), 50 (growing); 25 and 16 at 2.94 percent of the hash the ticket; private supply model 8 and 12b modelled