Class v6 floor lane 3: W = 8 free by the measured w16 and w64 rows (one sector per load, the crate's width set caveat); the 5090's size rows (4, 8, 10 percent per hash at the knee at 2, 4, 8 GiB) as the floor's honest-side cost; the k convention at the lock stated both ways
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com> Documents-only replay of e1e433638 (8e9588de0) for the box mirror master
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@ -27,8 +27,11 @@ schedule and which served claim.
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2. **The one lever on the wire is the read width, and it is free on the honest cards up to 16 bytes.** `W = 4` words
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(16 bytes) is measured within 2.7 percent on the 5090 and the 9070 XT and within 1 percent on the M5 Max (the
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record, 5 October); it moves the die to 176 bits per read, 0.38 nJ, **44x at zero shadow, 5.6x at k = 0.5**. `W = 8`
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(32 bytes, exactly the GDDR7 sector the 5090 already fetches) is unmeasured and reads 0.55 nJ, **31x and 5.4x**.
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`W = 16` costs the 5090 47 percent of its rate (measured) and is dead. The fold is keyed by the destination
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(32 bytes, exactly the GDDR7 sector the 5090 already fetches) has no row of its own but is free by the measured
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rows: the 5090's ceiling is about 18 G sectors a second (w16 moved 573 GB/s of sectors at 139.8 MH/s, w64 589 GB/s
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at 71.9, read-width.md), an aligned 32-byte read is one sector per load exactly as w16 is, AMD moves its 64-byte line
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either way, and the M5 Max read 1.03 of its v2 rate at both w16 and w64; it reads 0.55 nJ, **31x and 5.4x**, and one
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PC 1 row confirms it. `W = 16` costs the 5090 47 percent of its rate (two sectors per load, measured) and is dead. The fold is keyed by the destination
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register through its first word (`verify::fold_words`), so a chip cannot pre-fold a wide read into a narrower table:
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the raw words must cross the die. A chain of 2, 4 or 8 dependent atoms per step moves nothing: the ratio is per
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read on both sides. Banking plus a sequencer cannot localise: the chain alternates the 16 load sites and their
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@ -42,7 +45,10 @@ schedule and which served claim.
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under 64 GB. The hop between dies costs 0.04 to 0.15 nJ at the honest widths (UCIe 0.5 pJ per bit, claimed), so a
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ten-die store still reads 25x to 58x at zero shadow and 5.2x to 5.7x with the shadow; and because every die is
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powered, the store's USD per MH/s does not rise with the dataset (USD 0.25 to 0.5 at every size). The floor
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raises the minimum unit from USD 500 to USD 5,000, which is 2.5 times a 5090's street price. **The schedule that
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raises the minimum unit from USD 500 to USD 5,000, which is 2.5 times a 5090's street price. And the floor has a
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cost on the honest side that the record read as zero: the 5090 at its knee pays 4, 8 and 10 percent more energy
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per hash at 2, 4 and 8 GiB than at 1 GiB (measured, PC 1, 12:58 UK; 1 to 4 percent unlocked), so each step moves
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the honest denominator toward the chip by the same share. **The schedule that
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keeps the most honest cards is lane A's: 5.5 GiB at the v6 epoch (3 reticles, USD 1,500), 8.5 GiB two years on (5
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reticles, USD 2,500, the last size inside the 12 GB tier's room), 11.5 GiB at four years (6 reticles, USD 3,000,
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the last inside the 16 GB tier); each step sits just under a card tier's room and just over a reticle multiple.**
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@ -86,6 +92,7 @@ honest card's full latency shadow (2.0x at `k = 1`, 4.0x at `k = 0.5`) is the nu
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| The card room | 75 percent of card memory, 50 percent of Apple unified; the non-dataset working set 254 to 479 MiB best, 600 to 1,500 worst; the cache 512 MiB from 4 GiB, 1 GiB from 8, 2 GiB from 16, freed after the build in the best case | the standing rule / measured working set | card-lifetime-2026-10-05 section 3; the design document 3.4 |
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| The card population | by count of the bench table's 32 measured consumer cards: 6 GB 3 percent, 8 GB 22, 10 and 11 GB about 9, 12 GB 22, 16 GB 28, 24 GB and up 16; the fleet's hashrate-weighted census unread | approximate | lane A 4.2a via the design document 3.4 |
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| The Apple rate cost of the working set | -12 percent at 2 GiB, -20 at 4, -22 at 8 against 1 GiB on the M5 Max | measured, 10:40 UTC | the design document 3.3 |
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| The 5090's cost of the working set | against the 1 GiB control (137.65 MH/s at 312.2 W unlocked, 127.39 at 212.6 W at the 1,300 MHz lock): 2 GiB -2.8 percent unlocked and -4.9 at the lock, 4 GiB -3.8 and -11.2, 8 GiB -4.3 and -14.1; MH/W at the lock 0.599, 0.576, 0.553, 0.543 (4, 8 and 10 percent per hash in energy at the knee) | measured, 12:49 to 12:58 UK, PC 1, label ca4-v6 | the hash lane's message of 13:0x UK |
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| The emission | 3,168,808,781 base units per DAA second, 10^8 base units per IGN (1.0 B IGN a year in years 1 and 2), a 30-day ramp (about 37 M IGN never minted), halving every 63,115,200 DAA s, 80 percent to miners | spec | spec 05 (the economics table, section 2.5) |
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| The mission lane's break-even model | revenue `s x E2 x p`; cap = `C_proj / s` in years 1 to 2 at `s` = 0.30; its E2 of 4.18 B IGN is not this emission constant's figure (1.57 B to miners), so this file recomputes from the constant and carries both | model | mission/future.md 2.2 |
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| The re-fill | a 1 GiB rebuild 157 G ops, 13.4 ms on a 5090, 0.16 to 0.5 J on a chip core; class v5 refreshes per epoch (3,600 s) | measured / modelled | the invention lane 2.11, 2.15; the research file row 7 |
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@ -106,7 +113,7 @@ rate. With the shadow: `edge = (2.26 + F) / (E_hash0 + k F)`. All modelled; the
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 (today, 4 B) | 80 | 0.25 | 8.3 | 0.036 | **66x** | 22x | 5.7x / 3.0x | 4.1x / 2.1x | 4.0x | 0 | modelled |
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| 4 (16 B) | 176 | 0.38 | 5.6 | 0.054 | **44x** | 14x | 5.6x / 2.9x | 4.0x / 2.1x | 3.9x | 5090 +2.7 percent rate, 9070 XT -1.4, M5 Max within 1 (measured) | modelled chip, measured cards |
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| 8 (32 B, the GDDR7 sector) | 304 | 0.55 | 3.9 | 0.078 | **31x** | 10x | 5.4x / 2.9x | 4.0x / 2.0x | 3.6x | unmeasured; the sector is fetched anyway on NVIDIA (32 B) and AMD (64 B line); Apple's LPDDR5X atom 32 B (claimed); a PC 1 and M5 Max job | modelled |
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| 8 (32 B, the GDDR7 sector) | 304 | 0.55 | 3.9 | 0.078 | **31x** | 10x | 5.4x / 2.9x | 4.0x / 2.0x | 3.6x | free by the measured rows: one sector per load on NVIDIA as at w16 (the ceiling about 18 G sectors a second: 573 GB/s at w16, 589 at w64), one 64 B line on AMD, and the M5 Max at 1.03 of v2 at both w16 and w64; a PC 1 row confirms (the crate's width set is {1, 4, 16} words, so a pack at 8 needs a generator and emitter line first, the hash lane's caveat) | modelled chip; the card by interpolation of measured rows |
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| 16 (64 B, the record's atom) | 560 | 0.88 | 2.4 | 0.125 | 19x (the record's 17x at 1.0 nJ) | 6.2x | 5.0x / 2.7x | 3.8x / 2.0x | 3.2x | the 5090 -47 percent of rate (measured): dead | modelled |
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Reading: the record's 1.0 nJ and 17x are the 64-byte row; at the hash's own width the die is 3.5x stronger at zero
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@ -198,6 +205,16 @@ die makes 2,000 to 8,000 MH/s, so the store's silicon is USD 33 to 125 per card-
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the maker powers every die and the rate scales with the count (section 2.4). The floor does not move USD per MH/s; it
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moves the minimum ticket.
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The honest side pays the floor in joules, which the record read as zero for the NVIDIA tiers: the 5090 at the 1,300
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MHz lock loses 4.9, 11.2 and 14.1 percent of rate at 2, 4 and 8 GiB against 1 GiB (unlocked 2.8, 3.8 and 4.3), which
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is 4, 8 and 10 percent more energy per hash at the knee (measured, PC 1, 12:49 to 12:58 UK, the hash lane's ca4-v6
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rows: the page-walk cost the unlocked card hides). So the 5.5 GiB step costs a tuned 5090 about 9 percent per hash and
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the 8.5 and 11.5 steps 10 to 11 (the curve past 8 GiB unmeasured, read as flattening), against the chip's ticket rising
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from USD 500 to 1,500, 2,500 and 3,000 and its joules not at all; every chip edge in section 2 rises by the same 4 to 11
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percent against a card at its knee. The 9070 XT and the smaller NVIDIA tiers have no size rows (approximate: the
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5090's curve). Per step the floor buys the chain USD 1,000 of chip ticket for about 1 percent of the tuned 5090's
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energy per hash and 22 percent of today's measured consumer cards by count.
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### 3.3 The growth rule, tied to chain state
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Layer 2's rule stands (the design document 3.1): the day's item count is the larger of the schedule's floor and the
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@ -288,7 +305,7 @@ the detector, not the hash, is the instrument.
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| Home miner, one 8 GB card | Lever 1 costs it nothing at `W = 4` (measured on larger cards; its own row unmeasured) and under 5 percent at `W = 8` by the sector argument (unmeasured). Lever 2 retires it at the year-2 step (8.5 GiB) on this file's schedule, as on lane A's; a 6 GiB v6 epoch retires it two years earlier. Lever 3 is not its concern: no chip exists, and the first one needs IGN at USD 0.13 to 2.9 | the schedule is the founder's number; the `W = 8` measurement is a PC 1 job |
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| One 12 GB card | holds to the year-4 step (11.5 GiB) with the cache freed after the build; out at 11.0 to 11.5 with it resident | the same |
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| One 16 GB card (the 9070 XT, the 5070 Ti) | holds every step to 11.5 GiB; out at the 16 GiB step | the same |
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| One 24 or 32 GB card, the 5090 at its knee | holds every step of the schedule; the 24 GB tier leaves at 16 GiB with the cache resident; the 32 GB card at 22 GiB. Against the die with the shadow on at the knee (1.66 microjoules, F 0.65 at the lock): about 3.2x at `k = 0.5`, 1.9x at `k = 1` (modelled, the lock rows) | the Ember knob carries the lock |
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| One 24 or 32 GB card, the 5090 at its knee | holds every step of the schedule; the 24 GB tier leaves at 16 GiB with the cache resident; the 32 GB card at 22 GiB. It pays the floor in joules at the knee: 4, 8 and 10 percent per hash at 2, 4 and 8 GiB (measured), about 9 to 11 percent across the schedule; unlocked 3 to 4 percent. Against the die with the shadow on at the lock (the card 1.67 microjoules plus F 0.65, measured; the die at `W = 4`): under the record's convention (`k` against the GPU's op cost at the same operating point, 6.2 pJ at the lock) 6.1x at `k = 0.5` and 3.3x at `k = 1`; under the absolute convention (the die's core costs what it costs, `k` fixed against the stock 11.3 pJ) 3.8x and 2.0x. The record's convention flatters the die at the lock by 1.6x; the absolute one is the physics and is what this file carries for the served line | the Ember knob carries the lock; the research lane picks the convention for its tables |
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| The unified-memory SoC | a 16 GB Mac leaves at the year-2 step; 32 GB at the 16 GiB step; every Mac pays -21 to -25 percent of rate from the v6 epoch on (measured to 8 GiB). Against the die at class v4 and `k = 0.5` the M5 Max reads 3.6x to 4.0x | finding 3 of lane B: the reference joule |
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| A rig | nothing changes until a project pays (section 4); the 180-day rotation and the floor do not move the chip's per-MH/s cost | the issuance trigger and the detector, as the record |
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| A pool user | the chip fleet that matters is one package; the share-pattern detector is the warning | the detector before the public testnet |
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@ -297,9 +314,9 @@ the detector, not the hash, is the instrument.
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## 7. Recommendation, for the 20:00 close
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The lever is the read width: pin `W = 4` words at genesis on the measured rows (the 5090 +2.7 percent, the 9070 XT
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-1.4, the M5 Max within 1) and move to `W = 8` once one PC 1 and one M5 Max job read it inside the 5 percent rule,
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which moves the die from 66x to 31x to 44x at zero shadow and by 0.2x to 0.4x with the shadow on, and keep the
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per-lane scratch resident so the lane stays pinned. The schedule is 5.5 GiB at the v6 epoch, 8.5 two years on and
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-1.4, the M5 Max within 1) and move to `W = 8` once one PC 1 row confirms what the measured rows already say (one
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sector per load on NVIDIA, one line on AMD, Apple flat to w64), which moves the die from 66x to 31x to 44x at zero
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shadow and by 0.2x to 0.4x with the shadow on, and keep the per-lane scratch resident so the lane stays pinned. The schedule is 5.5 GiB at the v6 epoch, 8.5 two years on and
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11.5 at four, each just under a card tier's room and just over a reticle multiple (3, 5 and 6 dies; USD 1,500, 2,500
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and 3,000 of silicon), and USD 5,000 is not recommended because it is 20 GiB and retires every card under 32 GB and
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every Mac under 64 GB whenever it lands. The served claim should say that the strongest chip we can model for 2027
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@ -315,11 +332,13 @@ this file moves a served number; the `W = 8` row and the Apple rate curve past 8
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- Every chip-side figure is modelled; the macro access (0.1 nJ, width-independent) and the wire (1.3 pJ per bit at 24
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mm) are the record's approximations and move every zero-shadow row by 2x either way; the shadowed rows move under
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0.3x.
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- `W = 8` on the 5090 (stock and at the lock), the 9070 XT and the M5 Max: unmeasured; the sector argument says free
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on NVIDIA and AMD and the Apple atom is claimed. A PC 1 job and a Mac measure-lock job; not run by this lane (no
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builds on the Mac; no GPU on build-3 or build-4).
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- `W = 8` has no row of its own: its card cost is read by interpolation of the measured w16 and w64 rows (one sector
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per load on NVIDIA, one line on AMD, the M5 Max flat at 1.03 through w64). One PC 1 row at stock and at the lock
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confirms it; the crate's width set is {1, 4, 16} words, so the pack needs a generator and emitter line first (the
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hash lane's caveat, 13:0x UK). Not run by this lane (no builds on the Mac; no GPU on build-3 or build-4).
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- The Apple rate curve past 8 GiB (the 11.5 and 16 GiB steps): unmeasured; read as -22 to -25 percent.
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- The 5090's own size rows at 2, 4 and 8 GiB (the hash lane, about 13:45 UK): read as size-independent here.
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- The 5090's size rows at 2, 4 and 8 GiB landed at 12:58 UK (the hash lane, PC 1, label ca4-v6) and are in section 3.2;
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the 9070 XT and the smaller NVIDIA tiers have no size rows (their page reach is read as the 5090's, approximate).
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- The SRAM cost curve past N2 (A16 and A14 density and wafer price): approximate; the flat USD 250 per GiB rests on
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the density gain and the wafer price cancelling, which a 2x move in either changes by 2x.
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- The emission figures are the spec's constant read by this lane; the mission lane's E2 of 4.18 B IGN differs and is
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